Application of the integrated assessment method when comparing «Soyuz-5» and «Amur-LNG» launch vehicles


Аuthors

Stelmakh S. F.*, Yesipov E. N., Mikhailov V. A., Demidova N. S.

Mlitary spaсe Aсademy named after A.F. Mozhaisky, 197198, St. Petersburg, Zhdanovskaya St., 13

*e-mail: vka@mil.ru

Abstract

Currently, the spacecraft launch vehicles comprise a wide range of different launch vehicles with various payload capacities. These vehicles have different technical specifications, cost characteristics, and operational parameters. In this context, the development of a method for determining the most suitable launch vehicle is an important issue.

In the article, this task is implemented on the basis of one of the methods of comparative analysis, namely the method of integrated assessment. The integrated assessment method is based on calculating a generalized assessment of the compared objects, taking into account the evaluations according to all criteria.

The main advantage of the method is the minimal amount of information needed from an expert. The method also has the following advantages: it characterizes the level of physical properties required for the comparison object with a single number and ensures objectivity, comparability, and reproducibility in research results.

The integrated assessment method provides a comparative analysis of two medium-lift launch vehicles «Soyuz-5» and «Amur-LNG» to determine the best one for the target task at hand. The stages of solving the problem are described and a schematic representation of the algorithm for implementing the proposed comparison method is provided.

The analysis of the calculations conducted allows us to determine which launch vehicle should be prioritized based on expert assessment of criteria that determine the importance of numerical values for the main characteristics. This vehicle has an optimal set of technical, cost, and operational characteristics that are necessary to solve the given problem.

Keywords:

launch vehicle, comparative analysis, criterion, comprehensive assessment method, feature, expert assessment

References

  1. Medvedev A.A. Innovatsionnye podkhody pri sozdanii raketno-kosmicheskoi tekhniki (Innovative approaches in the creation of rocket and space technology). Moscow: Dobroe slovo i Ko Publ., 2020. 400 p.

  2. Boldyrev K.B., Gribakin V.A., Karchin A.Yu., Pirogov S.Yu., Sultanov A.E. Rakety-nositeli (Launch vehicles). Saint Petersburg: VKA imeni A.F. Mozhaiskogo Publ., 2018. 385 p.

  3. Karchin A.Yu., Boldyrev K.B., Sultanov A.E., Prokopenko E.A. Osnovy ustroistva raket kosmicheskogo naznacheniya (Basics of space rocket design). Saint Petersburg: VKA imeni A.F. Mozhaiskogo Publ., 2019. 180 p.

  4. Khusnetdinov I.R. Trends analysis of domestic and foreign booster’s super-heavy. Trudy MAI. 2014. No. 73. (In Russ.). URL: https://trudymai.ru/eng/published.php?ID=48480

  5. Ganiev T.A., Karyakin V.V. Kosmicheskaya politika mirovykh i regional'nykh derzhav (Space policy of world and regional powers). Moscow: Arkhont Publ., 2020. 175 p.

  6. Pshenichnikov I.V, Smirnov D.P., Doshchanova D.R. Economic aspects of the transition to reusable launch vehicles. Ekonomika kosmosa. 2022. No. 1. P. 40–44. (In Russ.)

  7. Mitrofanov D.V., Legoshin P.A. Space exploration in the era of innovation. Vserossiiskaya nauchno-prakticheskaya konferentsiya s mezhdunarodnym uchastiem «Razrabotka i primenenie naukoemkikh tekhnologii v epokhu global'nykh transformatsii»: sbornik trudov. Ufa: Nauchno-izdatel'skii tsentr Aeterna Publ., 2023. P. 14–16.

  8. Gudkov P.A. Metody sravnitel'nogo analiza (Methods of comparative analysis). Penza: Izd-vo Penzenskogo gosudarstvennogo universiteta Publ., 2008. 81 p.

  9. Saati T., Kerne K. Analiticheskoe planirovanie. Organizatsiya sistem. (Analytical planning. Organization of systems.). Moscow: Radio i svyaz' Publ., 1991. 224 p.

  10. Rybak V.A., Shokr A. Analytical review and comparison of existing decision support technologies. Sistemnyi analiz i prikladnaya informatika. 2016. No. 3. P. 12–18. (In Russ.)

  11. Lisetskii Yu.M. Algorithm for comparing methods of comprehensive quantitative assessment of the quality of complex systems. Programmnye produkty i sistemy. 2012. No. 4. P. 153–156. (In Russ.)

  12. Shor Ya.B. Metody kompleksnoi otsenki kachestva produktsii (Methods of comprehensive product quality assessment). Moscow: Znanie Publ., 1971. 54 p.

  13. Beshelev S.D., Gurvich F.G. Matematiko-statisticheskie metody ekspertnykh otsenok (Mathematical and statistical methods of expert assessments). Moscow: Statistika Publ., 1980. 263 p.

  14. Lisetskii Yu.M. Method of complex expert assessment for designing complex technical systems. Matematicheskie mashiny i sistemy. 2006. No. 2. P. 141–146. (In Russ.)

  15. Kini R.L., Raifa Kh. Prinyatie reshenii pri mnogikh kriteriyakh: predpochteniya i zameshcheniya (Decision-making under many criteria: preferences and substitutions). Moscow: Radio i svyaz' Publ., 1981. 560 p.

  16. Smorodinskii S.C., Batin N.V. Metody analiza i prinyatiya upravlencheskikh reshenii (Methods of analysis and management decision-making). Minsk: Belorusskii kommercheskii universitet upravleniya Publ., 2000. 101 p.

  17. Zhang M., Xu D., Yue S., Tao H. Design and dynamic analysis of landing gear system in vertical takeoff and vertical landing reusable launch vehicle. Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers Journal of Aerospace Engineering, October 2018, V. 233. DOI: 10.1177/0954410018804093

  18. Stel'makh S.F., Basov G.B. Analysis of the development status and application prospects of the Soyuz-5 launch vehicle. Izvestiya Instituta inzhenernoi fiziki. 2021. No. 2 (60). P. 10–15. (In Russ.)

  19. Timofeev P.M. Methods comparison of returning the first stage of the reusable rocket. Trudy MAI. 2020. No. 113. (In Russ.). URL: https://trudymai.ru/eng/published.php?ID=118079. DOI: 10.34759/trd-2020-113-06

  20. Stel'makh S.F., Astankov A.M., Shcherbul' K.S., Lashko R.O. Prospects for the creation and application of the Amur-SPG launch vehicle. Izvestiya TulGU. Tekhnicheskie nauki. 2024. No. 9. P. 550–555. (In Russ.)

  21. Dolzhanskii YU.M., Ilingina A.V., Kuzin A.I. Soyuz-5 Launch Vehicle: On the Production of the Product at JSC RCC Progress. Vestnik NPO Tekhnomash. 2021. No. 2. P. 18–21. (In Russ.)

  22. Liseikin V.A., Mel'nikov V.S., Tozhokin I.A., Khachin A.I. Information and Control Systems for Fire Bench Tests of the First and Second Stage Blocks of the Soyuz-5 Launch Vehicle. Polet. Obshcherossiiskii nauchno-tekhnicheskii zhurnal. 2022. No. 1. P. 28–46. (In Russ.)

  23. Kalugin K.S., Sukhov A.V. Features of Using Methane as a Fuel for Liquid Rocket Engines. Aerospace MAI Journal. 2018. V. 25, No. 4. P. 120–132. (In Russ.)

Download

mai.ru — informational site MAI

Copyright © 2000-2025 by MAI

Вход